KPMG Playoff Probability: What are the odds for a crossover?
Arthur Ward/CFL.ca
TORONTO -- The Final Stretch to the 2026 Grey Cup Playoffs continues with only five weeks remaining on the regular season schedule.
KPMG Playoff Probability is here to tell us which team is the favourite to win the 113th Grey Cup and much more.
The projection for a crossover is now at >99.99%. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers crossing over and playing in the 113th Grey Cup against the Edmonton Elks is the fourth-most likely matchup this week.
As always, we’ll give readers a reminder that Playoff Probability is a snapshot of this particular moment in the season, working with the data provided by teams’ records through the first 16 weeks of play.
Below is where every team stands ahead of Week 17.
ODDS TO MAKE PLAYOFFS
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | C |
Edmonton | C |
Toronto | C |
BC | 99.48% |
Saskatchewan | 98.96% |
Winnipeg | 95.09% |
Calgary | 6.47% |
Hamilton | <0.01% |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO HOST A PLAYOFF GAME
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | C |
Toronto | C |
Edmonton | 98.95% |
BC | 55.24% |
Saskatchewan | 36.43% |
Winnipeg | 9.27% |
Calgary | 0.11% |
Hamilton | E |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO HOST THE EASTERN FINAL
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | 99.77% |
Toronto | 0.23% |
Hamilton | E |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO HOST THE WESTERN FINAL
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Edmonton | 90.13% |
Saskatchewan | 5.98% |
BC | 3.57% |
Winnipeg | 0.32% |
Calgary | E |
ODDS TO APPEAR IN THE 113TH GREY CUP
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Edmonton | 74.34% |
Montreal | 72.49% |
BC | 19.41% |
Toronto | 18.59% |
Winnipeg | 8.35% |
Saskatchewan | 6.71% |
Calgary | 0.10% |
Hamilton | <0.01% |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO WIN THE 113TH GREY CUP
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Edmonton | 46.79% |
Montreal | 29.16% |
BC | 11.33% |
Toronto | 6.66% |
Winnipeg | 3.42% |
Saskatchewan | 2.62% |
Calgary | 0.02% |
Hamilton | <0.01% |
Ottawa | E |
MOST LIKELY 113TH GREY CUP MATCHUPS
Matchup | Projection |
|---|---|
Edmonton/Montreal | 53.79% |
Edmonton/Toronto | 13.84% |
BC/Montreal | 12.71% |
Edmonton/Winnipeg | 4.18% |
Saskatchewan/Montreal | 4.03% |