KPMG Playoff Probability: Who is the front-runner to win the 113th Grey Cup?
Leah Hennel/CFL.ca
TORONTO -- The Final Stretch to the 2026 Grey Cup Playoffs presented by Wegovy continues with just six weeks left in the regular season.
KPMG Playoff Probability is here to tell us which team is the favourite to win the 113th Grey Cup and much more.
As always, we’ll give readers a reminder that Playoff Probability is a snapshot of this particular moment in the season, working with the data provided by teams’ records through the first 15 weeks of play.
Below is where every team stands ahead of Week 16.
ODDS TO MAKE PLAYOFFS
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | C |
Edmonton | C |
Toronto | 99.99% |
BC | 99.56% |
Saskatchewan | 98.62% |
Winnipeg | 95.40% |
Calgary | 5.59% |
Hamilton | 0.84% |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO HOST A PLAYOFF GAME
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | C |
Edmonton | 99.71% |
Toronto | 99.16% |
BC | 62.82% |
Saskatchewan | 29.12% |
Winnipeg | 8.28% |
Hamilton | 0.84% |
Calgary | 0.07% |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO HOST THE EASTERN FINAL
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | 99.71% |
Toronto | 0.29% |
Hamilton | E |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO HOST THE WESTERN FINAL
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Edmonton | 96.72% |
Saskatchewan | 1.80% |
BC | 1.40% |
Winnipeg | 0.08% |
Calgary | E |
ODDS TO APPEAR IN THE 113TH GREY CUP
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Edmonton | 78.24% |
Montreal | 74.29% |
BC | 19.39% |
Toronto | 13.13% |
Winnipeg | 10.25% |
Saskatchewan | 4.52% |
Calgary | 0.14% |
Hamilton | 0.04% |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO WIN THE 113TH GREY CUP
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Edmonton | 55.63% |
Montreal | 23.74% |
BC | 12.28% |
Winnipeg | 3.72% |
Toronto | 2.99% |
Saskatchewan | 1.61% |
Calgary | 0.02% |
Hamilton | 0.01% |
Ottawa | E |
MOST LIKELY 113TH GREY CUP MATCHUPS
Matchup | Projection |
|---|---|
Edmonton-Montreal | 58.07% |
BC-Montreal | 12.68% |
Edmonton-Toronto | 10.23% |
Edmonton-Winnipeg | 6.40% |
BC-Toronto | 2.26% |