KMPG Playoff Probability: What is the most likely 113th Grey Cup matchup?
John Kenney/CFL.ca
TORONTO -- The Final Stretch to the 2026 Grey Cup Playoffs continues with only one week remaining on the regular season schedule.
KPMG Playoff Probability is here to tell us which team is the favourite to win the 113th Grey Cup and much more.
As always, we’ll give readers a reminder that Playoff Probability is a snapshot of this particular moment in the season, working with the data provided by teams’ records through the first 20 weeks of play.
Below is where every team stands ahead of Week 21.
ODDS TO MAKE PLAYOFFS
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | C |
Edmonton | C |
Toronto | C |
Saskatchewan | C |
BC | C |
Calgary | 76.89% |
Winnipeg | 23.11% |
Hamilton | E |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO HOST A PLAYOFF GAME
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | C |
Toronto | C |
Edmonton | C |
BC | C |
Saskatchewan | E |
Winnipeg | E |
Calgary | E |
Hamilton | E |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO HOST EASTERN FINAL
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | C |
Toronto | E |
Hamilton | E |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO HOST THE WESTERN FINAL
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Edmonton | C |
BC | E |
Saskatchewan | E |
Calgary | E |
Winnipeg | E |
ODDS TO APPEAR IN THE 113TH GREY CUP
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | 83.52% |
Edmonton | 80.78% |
BC | 15.33% |
Calgary | 8.35% |
Toronto | 8.25% |
Saskatchewan | 3.14% |
Winnipeg | 0.63% |
Hamilton | E |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO WIN THE 113TH GREY CUP
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | 43.58% |
Edmonton | 43.10% |
BC | 6.16% |
Calgary | 3.61% |
Toronto | 2.42% |
Saskatchewan | 0.92% |
Winnipeg | 0.21% |
Hamilton | E |
Ottawa | E |
MOST LIKELY 113TH GREY CUP MATCHUPS
Teams | Projection |
|---|---|
Edmonton/Montreal | 67.56% |
BC/Montreal | 12.72% |
Edmonton/Toronto | 6.58% |
Edmonton/Calgary | 5.38% |
Saskatchewan/Montreal | 1.64% |