KPMG Playoff Probability: Battle of Alberta in the 113th Grey Cup?

Insight & AnalysisOct 15, 2026

CFL.ca Staff

TORONTO -- The Final Stretch to the 2026 Grey Cup Playoffs continues with only two weeks remaining on the regular season schedule.

KPMG Playoff Probability is here to tell us which team is the favourite to win the 113th Grey Cup and much more.

Will there be a Battle of Alberta in the 113th Grey Cup? This week's simulation says there's a chance.

As always, we’ll give readers a reminder that Playoff Probability is a snapshot of this particular moment in the season, working with the data provided by teams’ records through the first 19 weeks of play.

Below is where every team stands ahead of Week 20.

ODDS TO MAKE PLAYOFFS

Team

Projection

Montreal

C

Edmonton

C

Toronto

C

BC

C

Saskatchewan

78.86%

Calgary

68.89%

Winnipeg

52.25%

Hamilton

E

Ottawa

E

ODDS TO HOST A PLAYOFF GAME

Team

Projection

Montreal

C

Toronto

C

Edmonton

C

BC

99.36%

Winnipeg

0.64%

Saskatchewan

E

Calgary

E

Hamilton

E

Ottawa

E

ODDS TO HOST THE EASTERN FINAL

Team

Projection

Montreal

C

Toronto

E

Hamilton

E

Ottawa

E

ODDS TO HOST THE WESTERN FINAL

Team

Projection

Edmonton

97.72%

BC

2.28%

Calgary

E

Saskatchewan

E

Winnipeg

E

ODDS TO APPEAR IN THE 113TH GREY CUP

Team

Projection

Montreal

89.10%

Edmonton

71.72%

BC

26.94%

Toronto

8.53%

Calgary

1.54%

Saskatchewan

1.09%

Winnipeg

1.08%

Hamilton

E

Ottawa

E

ODDS TO WIN THE 113TH GREY CUP

Team

Projection

Montreal

50.65%

Edmonton

33.48%

BC

12.58%

Toronto

2.43%

Calgary

0.38%

Winnipeg

0.26%

Saskatchewan

0.22%

Hamilton

E

Ottawa

E

MOST LIKELY 113TH GREY CUP MATCHUPS

Teams

Projection

Edmonton/Montreal

63.91%

BC/Montreal

23.98%

Edmonton/Toronto

6.09%

BC/Toronto

2.34%

Edmonton/Calgary

0.01%