KPMG Playoff Probability: Battle of Alberta in the 113th Grey Cup?

Leah Hennel/CFL.ca
TORONTO -- The Final Stretch to the 2026 Grey Cup Playoffs continues with only two weeks remaining on the regular season schedule.
KPMG Playoff Probability is here to tell us which team is the favourite to win the 113th Grey Cup and much more.
Will there be a Battle of Alberta in the 113th Grey Cup? This week's simulation says there's a chance.
As always, we’ll give readers a reminder that Playoff Probability is a snapshot of this particular moment in the season, working with the data provided by teams’ records through the first 19 weeks of play.
Below is where every team stands ahead of Week 20.

ODDS TO MAKE PLAYOFFS
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | C |
Edmonton | C |
Toronto | C |
BC | C |
Saskatchewan | 78.86% |
Calgary | 68.89% |
Winnipeg | 52.25% |
Hamilton | E |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO HOST A PLAYOFF GAME
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | C |
Toronto | C |
Edmonton | C |
BC | 99.36% |
Winnipeg | 0.64% |
Saskatchewan | E |
Calgary | E |
Hamilton | E |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO HOST THE EASTERN FINAL
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | C |
Toronto | E |
Hamilton | E |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO HOST THE WESTERN FINAL
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Edmonton | 97.72% |
BC | 2.28% |
Calgary | E |
Saskatchewan | E |
Winnipeg | E |
ODDS TO APPEAR IN THE 113TH GREY CUP
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | 89.10% |
Edmonton | 71.72% |
BC | 26.94% |
Toronto | 8.53% |
Calgary | 1.54% |
Saskatchewan | 1.09% |
Winnipeg | 1.08% |
Hamilton | E |
Ottawa | E |
ODDS TO WIN THE 113TH GREY CUP
Team | Projection |
|---|---|
Montreal | 50.65% |
Edmonton | 33.48% |
BC | 12.58% |
Toronto | 2.43% |
Calgary | 0.38% |
Winnipeg | 0.26% |
Saskatchewan | 0.22% |
Hamilton | E |
Ottawa | E |
MOST LIKELY 113TH GREY CUP MATCHUPS
Teams | Projection |
|---|---|
Edmonton/Montreal | 63.91% |
BC/Montreal | 23.98% |
Edmonton/Toronto | 6.09% |
BC/Toronto | 2.34% |
Edmonton/Calgary | 0.01% |