KPMG Playoff Probability: Who is the favourite to win the 113th Grey Cup?

Insight & AnalysisSep 10, 2026

CFL.ca Staff

TORONTO -- It's time to start talking about playoffs. Playoffs?! Yes, the Grey Cup Playoffs.

With the unofficial halfway mark of the CFL season, OK Tire Labour Day Weekend, behind us, The Final Stretch to the playoffs begins now.

KPMG Playoff Probability is back to tell us which team is the favourite to win the 113th Grey Cup and much more.

As always, we’ll give readers a reminder that Playoff Probability is a snapshot of this particular moment in the season, working with the data provided by teams’ records through the first 14 weeks of play.

Below is where every team stands ahead of Week 15.

ODDS TO MAKE PLAYOFFS

Team

Projection

Montreal

C

Edmonton

99.99%

Toronto

99.90%

Saskatchewan

97.94%

BC

95.47%

Winnipeg

74.54%

Calgary

31.45%

Hamilton

0.71%

Ottawa

<0.01%

ODDS TO HOST A PLAYOFF GAME

Team

Projection

Montreal

C

Toronto

99.29%

Edmonton

98.66%

Saskatchewan

58.43%

BC

34.53%

Winnipeg

6.80%

Calgary

1.58%

Hamilton

0.71%

Ottawa

<0.01%

ODDS TO HOST THE EASTERN FINAL

Team

Projection

Montreal

99.54%

Toronto

0.46%

Hamilton

<0.01%

Ottawa

E

ODDS TO HOST THE WESTERN FINAL

Team

Projection

Edmonton

85.84%

Saskatchewan

11.41%

BC

2.40%

Winnipeg

0.28%

Calgary

0.07%

ODDS TO APPEAR IN THE 113TH GREY CUP

Team

Projection

Montreal

76.05%

Edmonton

71.71%

Toronto

17.21%

BC

15.65%

Saskatchewan

12.80%

Winnipeg

5.03%

Calgary

1.53%

Hamilton

0.02%

Ottawa

<0.01%

ODDS TO WIN THE 113TH GREY CUP

Team

Projection

Edmonton

39.28%

Montreal

37.68%

BC

8.21%

Toronto

7.04%

Saskatchewan

5.27%

Winnipeg

1.99%

Calgary

0.54%

Hamilton

<0.01%

Ottawa

<0.01%

ODDS OF A CROSSOVER: 99.39%